Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1007 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-171515-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
1007 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Warm, dry, and windy conditions are expected through this evening.
A Red Flag Warning is in effect until 9 PM for strong and gusty
northwest winds and low relative humidity from the Brainerd Lakes
east into the I-35 corridor. Near-critical fire weather conditions
are also forecast through this evening over most of the remainder
of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Localized minor flooding continues over portions of the Boundary
Waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Localized minor flooding continues in the Boundary Waters region.

Widespread rain and thunderstorms are expected Sunday afternoon
through Tuesday. Severe storms are possible Sunday evening
through early Monday morning. Large hail and damaging winds are
the main threats. The risk of severe storms shifts into east-
central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin Monday afternoon and
evening. Damaging wind gusts to 70 mph and large hail to golf
ball size are the main severe weather threats. A tornado can`t be
ruled out. Localized minor flooding is possible with the storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1201 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

MNC075-137-192045-
/O.CON.KDLH.FA.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260519T2045Z/
/00000.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lake MN-St. Louis MN-
1201 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by rain and snowmelt continues.

* WHERE...In Minnesota, Lake and St. Louis Counties.

* WHEN...Until 345 PM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
  Some low-water crossings may become impassable. River or stream
  flows are elevated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1158 AM CDT Saturday, Minor flooding is already occurring
    and will continue. Additional rainfall amounts of three
    quarters to one and one half inches are forecast over the
    area from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday.

  - This includes the following streams and drainages...
    Oyster River, Ge-be-on-e-quet Creek, Horse River, Shohola
    Creek, Hustler River, Moose River, Jeanette Creek, Wolfpack
    Creek, Nugget Creek, Heritage Creek, Portage River, Range
    Line Creek and Legend Creek.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...
    Basswood Lake, northwestern Boundary Waters Canoe Area
    Wilderness, Lake Agnes, Crooked Lake, Fourtown Lake, Lac la
    Croix, Lac La Croix and Loon Lake.

  - Flood safety information can be found at
    www.weather.gov/safety/flood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Campers and hikers should avoid flooded trail crossings. If camping
at a site along or near the banks of rivers or streams, move away
from those locations and seek higher ground. Trails in hilly terrain
can quickly become unstable during or shortly after heavy rainfall.

Portage and hiking trails may be impassable and low-lying campsites
may be inundated with excessive runoff in this section of the
Boundary Waters as flooding is occurring or imminent.

Report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and to the National Weather Service in Duluth when you
can do so safely. Flooding can be reported to the National Weather
Service at 1-800-685-8612.

&&

LAT...LON 4827 9201 4823 9196 4820 9179 4820 9172
      4811 9171 4811 9165 4810 9164 4811 9156
      4807 9158 4804 9157 4798 9172 4816 9218
      4817 9235 4821 9238 4825 9227 4834 9229
      4836 9206 4830 9201


$$

Rothstein

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Duluth MN
954 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

MNZ033>038-170200-
/O.NEW.KDLH.FW.W.0009.260516T1500Z-260517T0200Z/
South Cass-Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-
Carlton and South St. Louis-Pine-
954 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...

The National Weather Service in Duluth has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, South Cass, Crow Wing, Northern
  Aitkin, South Aitkin, Carlton and South St. Louis and Pine.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/dlh/fire

Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov