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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
517 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-161030-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
517 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Warm, dry, and windy conditions are forecast Friday across the
Northland. A Red Flag Warning in effect for strong and gusty winds
and low relative humidity for most of northeast Minnesota and
northwest Wisconsin.

Localized minor flooding continues over portions of the Boundary
Waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Localized minor flooding also continues in the Boundary Waters
region.

Looking ahead, a strong spring system will bring thunderstorms
with heavy rainfall from Sunday into early next week. Severe
storms are possible Sunday evening through early Monday morning
south of a line from Walker to Cloquet to Hayward to Ladysmith.
The risk of severe storms shifts slightly farther east Monday
afternoon and evening to east of a line from near Brainerd to
Duluth to western Upper Michigan, including the I-35 corridor and
all of northwest Wisconsin. Damaging wind gusts to 70 mph and
large hail to golf ball size are the main severe weather threats.
Localized minor flooding is possible with the storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

$$

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1208 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

MNC075-137-192045-
/O.EXT.KDLH.FA.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260519T2045Z/
/00000.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lake MN-St. Louis MN-
1208 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by rain and snowmelt continues.

* WHERE...In Minnesota, far northwest Lake County and far northern
  St. Louis County.

* WHEN...Until 345 PM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
  Some low-water crossings may become impassable. River or stream
  flows are elevated. Lake levels are elevated.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1202 PM CDT Friday, Minor flooding is already occurring
    and will continue. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
    inches forecast over the area Sunday night through Tuesday.

  - This includes the following streams and drainages...
    Portage River, Oyster River, Shohola Creek, Ge-be-on-e-quet
    Creek, Moose River, Heritage Creek, Horse River, Nugget
    Creek, Wolfpack Creek, Legend Creek, Range Line Creek,
    Jeanette Creek and Hustler River.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...
    Basswood Lake, northwestern Boundary Waters Canoe Area
    Wilderness, Lake Agnes, Crooked Lake, Fourtown Lake, Lac la
    Croix, Lac La Croix and Loon Lake.

  - Flood safety information can be found at
    www.weather.gov/safety/flood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Campers and hikers should avoid flooded trail crossings. If camping
at a site along or near the banks of rivers or streams, move away
from those locations and seek higher ground. Trails in hilly terrain
can quickly become unstable during or shortly after heavy rainfall.

Portage and hiking trails may be impassable and low-lying campsites
may be inundated with excessive runoff in this section of the
Boundary Waters as flooding is occurring or imminent. Expect
elevated, and fast flow on area rivers and streams.

Report observed flooding to local emergency services or law
enforcement and to the National Weather Service in Duluth when you
can do so safely. Flooding can be reported to the National Weather
Service at 1-800-685-8612.

&&

LAT...LON 4834 9229 4836 9206 4830 9201 4827 9201
      4823 9196 4822 9187 4821 9186 4821 9182
      4820 9179 4820 9172 4811 9171 4811 9165
      4810 9164 4811 9156 4804 9157 4798 9172
      4816 9218 4817 9235 4821 9238 4825 9227


$$

PA


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Duluth MN
128 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-152100-
/O.CON.KDLH.FW.W.0008.260515T1700Z-260516T0200Z/
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook and Lake-North Itasca-
Central St. Louis-Southern Lake-Southern Cook-North Cass-
South Itasca-South Cass-Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-
Carlton and South St. Louis-Pine-
128 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MINNESOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Koochiching, St. Louis, Cook,
  Lake, Itasca, Cass, Crow Wing, Aitkin, Carlton and Pine.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov

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